The Undiscovered Horizon {Data}

We are slowly turning the tide against Covid-19.  Three data points support that conclusion.  First the number of deaths is declining.  On a moving average basis, mortality is down over 30% in the past month.




Hospitalizations have also declined significantly.  My guess is the treatment regime has changed in many places as well now that we know more about how the virus operates.



Testing has also improved dramatically.  It's much easier to get a test today around Chicago today than it was even a few weeks ago.  

Now I'm not saying this war is over by a long shot and it remains to be seen what happens now that we're tentatively moving out from lock downs.  I do know we understand so much more about the virus today than back at the beginning of the year and that knowledge is helping us to fight back.  We're also establishing treatments and protocols for what to do as we emerge that makes me think it will be harder for the virus to establish as strong a foothold in the coming months.

Source of the data is the excellent twitter feed of Charlie Bilello.

Back Thursday.