A Quick Thought

We ought to know pretty soon whether there's been an uptick in Covid cases resulting from the protests and unrest we've seen over the past few weeks.  By my math we're well into the 14 day cycle now where we should be seeing increased case loads, especially among younger people.  If we don't see a noticeable increase in areas where there's been unrest it would be stronger proof that the virus doesn't travel well outdoors.

On another note there has been much reporting on cases spiking in reopened states, particularly California, Arizona, Texas and Florida.  We are seeing data that cases are spiking amongst younger people.  However, we're not seeing data on how sick these younger people are.  That's going to be important.  I would think that if what we're seeing in younger people is the equivalent of the flu then it will be politically much easier to keep opening up the economy.  Becomes more problematic if all of a sudden we see a lot of younger people in the ICU.

It's all about the viral load people.

Time will tell.