We talked a lot
late in the summer and last fall when the market first took a tumble about all of this overhanging resistance. By that we mean all of the investors that have bought stocks or indices higher and are now trapped longs. That resistance barrier {shown in yellow in the chart above} is now even greater as the updated chart that I'm showing you of the S&P 500 only goes back to April of last year. If I could have extended this out you would see this resistance band extends back to the fall of 2014. Probability suggests that's going to be a tough barrier for stocks to crack in the short-term.
Markets are very oversold now so probability suggests some sort of bounce at some point.
*Long ETFs related to the S&P 500 in client and personal accounts although positions can change at any time.
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