The markets probably need a catalyst to project themselves higher into year-end. I think the midterm elections have the potential to be the event that leads to a rally. This is more likely if the Republicans somehow gain control of the Senate. I don't really think it will matter much on major policy changes. The Republicans, if they win, will not have the 60 votes necessary to override a presidential veto. Psychology though is different and just the thought that we might have a more pro business agenda out of Washington could be enough to ignite the animal spirits going into 2015.
We'll have to see the results of the elections. I think there's a higher probability of a rally regardless of who wins the Senate but the path is clearer for that to happen with a GOP victory. I'm also assuming in this scenario that there's no other major event washing up on the shores.
*Long ETFs related to the S&P 500 in client and personal accounts although these positions can change at any time.
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