Monday, November 01, 2010

Elections- My Predictions.

I was asked after my post on Friday by a couple of you what my predictions for the elections were so here goes. This opinion is of course worth exactly what you are paying for it.

House: Republicans pick up a net 45-55 seats. This will give them control but no veto proof majority. I think for that to happen the Republicans need to pick up 67 seats to have an effect override.

Senate: Republicans end up with 48 seats. Again whether they end up with 45, 48 or 52 will be irrelevant as neither party will have the requisite 60 seats need to end a filibuster. The most high profile losses will be Russ Feingold in Wisconsin, Reid in Nevada and Lincoln in Arkansas.

Here in Illinois. Brady will be Govenor, Kirk will win the Senate seat and the real political season will begin as Chicago gears up for Mayoral primaries next winter. Former White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel looks to be the prohibitive favorite at this point.

Here BTW is a link to political polls for Tuesday. 538 Blog